October and Fall – Warm and Dry in Illinois

The NWS Climate Prediction Center has released their outlooks for October and October-December. For Illinois there is an increased chance that temperatures will be above-average in both the October and October-December time frames. Also there is an increased chance that precipitation will be below-average in both October and October-December.

As posted earlier, this forecast is consistent with the known impacts of the rejuvenated La Niña event occurring in the Pacific Basin. La Niña tends to give us warmer and drier than average conditions in fall. Last fall was a classic example of this with temperatures 1.2 degrees above average and precipitation 12% below average.

seasonal outlook
The October and October-December outlooks of temperature and precipitation from the NWS Climate Prediction Center. Click to enlarge.
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