Seasonal Outlook for Illinois

The National Weather Service released their seasonal outlook today. Here is their discussion of the outlooks. Hmm, I thought they were retiring the all-caps style.

BOTH OCEAN AND ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC 
OCEAN INDICATE A CONTINUED WEAKENING EL NINO STATE OVER THE PAST 
MONTH, WITH A TRANSITION TO ENSO-NEUTRAL FAVORED DURING THE LATE 
SPRING OR EARLY SUMMER 2016. THE LIKELIHOOD OF LA NINA DEVELOPING 
THEREAFTER INCREASES QUITE RAPIDLY WITH THE CHANCES EXCEEDING 50 
PERCENT BY LATE SUMMER 2016, EARLIER THAN THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL 
ASSESSMENT.

May

The outlook for May indicates that Illinois has an increased chance of being warmer than average. Illinois has equal chances of being above, below, or near-average on precipitation. Click to enlarge maps.

 

May-July

The outlook for May-July indicates that parts of northern and eastern Illinois have a slightly increased chance of being warmer than average. Illinois has equal chances of being above, below, or near-average on precipitation. It’s not a very exciting forecast for Illinois but that’s ok.

August-October

The outlook for August-October indicates that Illinois (and the US) have an increased chance of being warmer than average. Far western Illinois has a slightly increased chance of being drier than average.

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